Phoenix housing market

Buyer's marketPhoenix, AZ metro areaData through Sep 2026
Typical home value
$441K
▼ 1.1% 1 yr
Typical rent
$1,720/mo
▲ 1.0% 1 yr
12-month forecast
−1.8%
#536 of 546 metros
Gross rent yield
4.7%
#450 of 546 · U.S. 6.3%
Days to pending
62 days
▼ −2 days 1 yr
Listings with a price cut
32%
▼ −0.3 pts 1 yr

Key takeaways

  • 1The typical home is worth $441,097, down 1.1% in a year and up 6% over five years.
  • 2Zillow forecasts home values falling 1.8% over the next 12 months (U.S.: +1.1%).
  • 3Typical rent is $1,720/mo (+1.0% YoY), a 4.7% gross yield, below the U.S. 6.3%.
  • 4At 7.32% with 20% down, the typical home costs $2,424/mo in principal and interest, $704 more than renting.
  • 5Homes go under contract in 62 days (−2 days vs last year); 32% of listings have had a price cut.
Market temperature
Buyer's market
Buyer'sNeutralSeller's

Zillow Market Heat Index: 29/100, #447 hottest of 546 metros. Below 44 favors buyers; above 55 favors sellers.

Home values and rent

Typical home value
Latest $441K
$256K$331K$406K$481K2016201920222025
Typical monthly rent
Latest $1,720
$1,049$1,262$1,475$1,6882016201920222025

How fast homes are selling

Days to go under contract
Latest 62
2238536920182020202220242026
Share of listings with a price cut
Latest 32.0%
10.1%20.6%31.1%41.6%20182020202220242026
Homes for sale vs new listings
Latest 23,620
For saleNew listings
6,00012,87819,75526,63320182020202220242026
Share of homes sold above list price
Latest 14.5%
14.9%29.8%44.6%59.5%20182020202220242026

Affordability

Household income needed to buy vs rent
Latest $111K
To buy (20% down)To rent
$45K$69K$93K$116K201620182020202220242026

Source: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI and market activity data).

How Phoenix compares

MeasurePhoenixUnited StatesRank of 546
Home value, 1-yr change−1.1%+1.2%#500
Home value, 5-yr change+5.7%+19.7%
12-month forecast−1.8%+1.1%#536
Rent, 1-yr change+1.0%+2.7%#477
Gross rent yield4.7%6.3%#450
Price-to-rent ratio21.415.8
Mortgage P&I on typical home$2,424$2,012
Income needed to buy$111,187$100,902
Days to pending6256

Cities in the Phoenix metro

27 cities with home value and rent data.

Phoenix$404K▼ 1.2%$1,571▲ 1.0%4.7%
Mesa$429K▼ 0.7%$1,532▼ 0.1%4.3%
Chandler$513K▼ 1.2%$1,893▲ 1.6%4.4%
Gilbert$565K▼ 0.2%$2,079▲ 1.2%4.4%
Glendale$400K▼ 1.2%$1,511▲ 1.3%4.5%
Scottsdale$852K▲ 3.4%$2,114▲ 2.4%3.0%
Peoria$480K▼ 0.7%$1,851▲ 1.3%4.6%
Tempe$459K▼ 0.5%$1,623▲ 0.7%4.2%
Surprise$416K▼ 1.7%$1,942▲ 1.0%5.6%
Goodyear$464K▼ 0.9%$1,698▲ 1.6%4.4%
San Tan Valley$393K▼ 2.4%$2,009▲ 1.8%6.1%
Buckeye$391K▼ 1.9%$1,978▲ 1.4%6.1%
Avondale$393K▼ 1.2%$1,658▼ 0.5%5.1%
Queen Creek$630K▲ 0.2%$2,229▲ 1.2%4.2%
Maricopa$340K▼ 3.4%$1,773▲ 0.5%6.3%
Casa Grande$316K▼ 1.4%$1,673▲ 0.9%6.4%
Apache Junction$370K▼ 1.9%$1,767▲ 0.4%5.7%
Sun City$296K▼ 2.1%$1,791▼ 0.4%7.3%
Tolleson$388K▼ 1.8%$2,021▲ 2.0%6.2%
El Mirage$338K▼ 1.6%$1,897▼ 2.3%6.7%
Litchfield Park$515K▲ 0.1%$2,103▲ 1.3%4.9%
Florence$328K▼ 2.2%$1,796▲ 1.5%6.6%
Sun City West$375K▼ 1.5%$1,898▲ 12.2%6.1%
Fountain Hills$659K▲ 1.3%$2,332▲ 2.7%4.2%
Anthem$558K▼ 0.9%$2,532▲ 2.6%5.4%
Coolidge$263K▼ 0.7%$1,575▲ 0.8%7.2%
Paradise Valley$3.59M▲ 12.0%$2,069▲ 0.8%0.7%

Run the numbers

Other Arizona metros

Gross yield = 12 × typical rent ÷ typical home value, before expenses. Mortgage estimate: 20% down, 30-year fixed at the current Freddie Mac average, principal and interest only. Forecast: Zillow Home Value Forecast. Data refreshed Oct 26, 2026.