Merced housing market

Neutral marketMerced, CA metro areaData through Sep 2026
Typical home value
$414K
▼ 0.3% 1 yr
Typical rent
$2,059/mo
▲ 1.1% 1 yr
12-month forecast
−0.2%
#477 of 546 metros
Gross rent yield
6.0%
#270 of 546 · U.S. 6.3%
Days to pending
50 days
▲ +1 day 1 yr
Listings with a price cut
22%
▼ −1.2 pts 1 yr

Key takeaways

  • 1The typical home is worth $413,645, down 0.3% in a year and up 11% over five years.
  • 2Zillow forecasts home values falling 0.2% over the next 12 months (U.S.: +1.1%).
  • 3Typical rent is $2,059/mo (+1.1% YoY), a 6.0% gross yield, below the U.S. 6.3%.
  • 4At 7.32% with 20% down, the typical home costs $2,273/mo in principal and interest, $214 more than renting.
  • 5Homes go under contract in 50 days (+1 day vs last year); 22% of listings have had a price cut.
Market temperature
Neutral market
Buyer'sNeutralSeller's

Zillow Market Heat Index: 50/100, #136 hottest of 546 metros. Below 44 favors buyers; above 55 favors sellers.

Home values and rent

Typical home value
Latest $414K
$236K$295K$355K$414K2016201920222025
Typical monthly rent
Latest $2,059
$1,160$1,444$1,728$2,0122016201920222025

How fast homes are selling

Days to go under contract
Latest 50
1832476120182020202220242026
Share of listings with a price cut
Latest 22.0%
7.5%14.8%22.1%29.4%20182020202220242026
Homes for sale vs new listings
Latest 583
For saleNew listings
15136457678920182020202220242026
Share of homes sold above list price
Latest 35.3%
23.6%37.0%50.4%63.7%20182020202220242026

Affordability

Household income needed to buy vs rent
Latest $108K
To buy (20% down)To rent
$49K$68K$88K$108K201620182020202220242026

Source: Zillow Research (ZHVI, ZORI and market activity data).

How Merced compares

MeasureMercedUnited StatesRank of 546
Home value, 1-yr change−0.3%+1.2%#467
Home value, 5-yr change+11.1%+19.7%
12-month forecast−0.2%+1.1%#477
Rent, 1-yr change+1.1%+2.7%#473
Gross rent yield6.0%6.3%#270
Price-to-rent ratio16.715.8
Mortgage P&I on typical home$2,273$2,012
Income needed to buy$107,868$100,902
Days to pending5056

Cities in the Merced metro

2 cities with home value and rent data.

Merced$393K▼ 0.8%$2,041▲ 1.4%6.2%
Los Banos$457K▼ 1.3%$2,354▲ 2.0%6.2%

Run the numbers

Renting out a property in California? See deposit limits, late fee rules and notice periods.

Other California metros

Gross yield = 12 × typical rent ÷ typical home value, before expenses. Mortgage estimate: 20% down, 30-year fixed at the current Freddie Mac average, principal and interest only. Forecast: Zillow Home Value Forecast. Data refreshed Oct 26, 2026.